The creator uses a scripted skit between two campers to explain the economic dangers of zero percent inflation. After one character wishes for 0% inflation, the other explains why governments target 2% inflation, how inflation encourages spending, and how zero inflation can lead to a dangerous deflationary spiral. He concludes by explaining that zero inflation removes the government's ability to use interest rates to combat a recession, before the first character makes another, less consequential wish.
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Producer: @jackcorbe • Jack Corbett / NPR.
Editor: @alexgoldmark • Alex Goldmark/NPR.
Transcript
Charging the same price better made the can small. Inflation stinks. Through the oh, the shooting tier. Make a wish. Alright. So what'd you what'd you wish for? Wish for 0% inflation. No more groceries getting more expensive or my bank account shrinking. Oh, no. That's that's that's really bad. What? So by accident that we always have some inflation. I mean, the government usually wants about 2% inflation. That's their target. In fact, now they tell everyone this target because New Zealand found if you explicitly say your target, it helps you reach your target. Why do we need any inflation? It means our dollar is getting less valuable. One reason is it encourages investment. I mean, inflation eats away at how much stuff your money can buy, so it pushes people to spend their money on stuff or invest. K. Well, what happens now that I just made it zero? Part of it is that zero inflation is really close to negative inflation. And if inflation dips negative, it's really bad. Deflation means stuff gets cheaper. That sounds awesome. Yeah. Sure. Prices go down. But for everything, which sets off this chain reaction. So prices are dropping. So people decide to hold on to their money and wait to buy stuff until stuff becomes cheaper. That means businesses will be selling less stuff no they'll have to lay people off. And if more people are laid off that means more people aren't going around buying stuff which means there's an oversupply of stuff which means stuff gets even cheaper and then it just loops. I mean, but that's not even the real bad thing about zero inflation. What's the bad thing? It wrecks the main tool the government uses to steer the economy. Best rates. When inflation is high, we raise interest rates which takes money out of circulation. When inflation is low, we lower interest rates to put more money into circulation. Inflation is near zero and we've already lowered our interest rates as far as we can to try to counteract that. If we hit a recession or something, we can't lower interest rates anymore to try to kick tier the economy by circulating more money. The main lever the government uses for the economy only goes so far. I wish I knew all that when I made my wish. Look another one. Did you do it? Did you did you undo your last wish? Oh, that would have been really smart.